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Martingale vs the table limit

The table maximum is where Martingale’s “guarantee” quietly dies: once doubling would exceed the cap, the system can no longer recover — it just holds a maximal bet at the same old odds. Enter your numbers; the calculator shows how many doubles you really get and — the part brochures skip — how often that killing streak actually shows up in a session (exact Markov, not vibes).⚙ computed
Base bet $ · table max $

Reading the result

Doubles you get is floor(log₂(max/base)) — brutal geometry: a 10× bigger table max buys just over three extra doubles. Killing-streak odds use the same exact Markov chain as our streak calculator: not “can it happen” but “how often does it visit a session like yours”. Raise the base and both numbers worsen together — the system’s room to breathe is the ratio, and casinos set the ratio.

The uncomfortable presets

$5 → $500 (typical low table): 7 doubles, wall at $640, killing streak in ~65% of 200-spin sessions. $25 → $1,000 (main floor): 6 doubles — worse. $1 → $10,000 (fantasy spread): 13 doubles, and the 14-loss run still arrives about 1 session in 90, now costing $16,383 at the wall. No setting changes sides.

The full autopsy — bust distribution over a million sessions — lives on the Martingale page; run it yourself in the simulator autopilot.

Frequently asked

Does a bigger bankroll fix Martingale?
No — the wall is the base-to-max ratio, not your wallet: doubling money without raising the cap adds zero doubles, and our million-session run shows bust risk barely moves. The geometry is the system.
Why does the table limit beat Martingale?
Doubling requires unlimited room; the cap ends recovery after a fixed number of losses. With $5 base and a $500 max you get 7 doubles — and an 8-loss run visits roughly two-thirds of 200-spin sessions by exact computation.